Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Romney Lost Because of Anti-Mormon Bigotry on the Right

Well , the previously mentioned alienated evangelicals never showed up. Why ? Because many of them won't vote for a Mormon.

I should have known this since my ex-boss was a hard-right Baptist, and repeatedly stated a few years ago he would never vote for Romney.

One could almost call this the Bradley effect of the 2012 election. Romney couldn't hit Mc Cain's numbers, and in fact, wasn't close.

Some evangelical leaders, worried that Mitt Romney's Mormonism could suppress conservative turnout on Election Day, are intensifying appeals for Christians to vote.

In poll after poll, evangelicals have overwhelmingly said they would back the Republican presidential nominee despite theological differences with the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints. But what had been thought of as a hypothetical question for American evangelicals for years, Southern Baptist leader Al Mohler said recently, is now a reality with this election and is being tested in a contest that will likely be decided by slim margins.

1'Evangelical leaders worry Romney's Mormonism could suppress conservative turnout' - AP

Friday, November 2, 2012

Polls and the Right (Why Romney is much Closer than it Looks)

The last few national elections have seen a mostly unreported trend in initial exit polling. They are almost invariably underestimating Republican voting percentages.

This is because there is a small but significant chunk of the right that has dropped out of what one could call the mainstream conversation. Their world is Fox and Breitbart, and anyone doing an exit poll is part of the liberal MSM.

I am guessing that this is also the case in phone polling. If one lives amongst these conservative communities one notices that the degree of alienation is quite profound. Their world is slipping away, or what they imagine was their world.

This leads me to believe that the election is much, much closer than polls are indicating.